Will the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
Final price
35.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 35.8%.
- Final market price
- 35.8%
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 35.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 35.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026? The final Manifold price was 35.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 35.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 17, 2026 at 9:37 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 96d ago
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