ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 54d ago
Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 215,000?
Final price
57.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 57.2%.
- Final market price
- 57.2%
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 215,000? The final Manifold price was 57.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 57.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 13, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 54d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ10
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ42.2
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 57.2%
- Resolves
- Jul 9, 2026
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