Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 215,000?
Final price
57.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 57.2%.
- Final market price
- 57.2%
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 215,000? The final Manifold price was 57.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 57.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 13, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 100d ago