ManifoldPlay moneyMacro / FedUpdated 42d ago

Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on September 1st?

Final price
1.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.

Final market price
1.0%
Event deadline
September 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on September 1st? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.

Market data as of
September 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 16, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
September 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
42d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the Silver Price (expressed in USD per troy ounce) on September 1, 2026 is strictly greater than $75.00. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the Silver Price (expressed in USD per troy ounce) on September 1, 2026 is strictly greater than $75.00. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. Background As of late August 2026, the spot price of silver is trading at approximately $69.00 to $70.00 USD per troy ounce. Silver has experienced significant volatility throughout 2026, peaking at an all-time high of over $121.00 USD per troy ounce on January 29, 2026, before correcting back down. Analysts' forecasts for the remainder of the year remain highly divided, with J.P. Morgan projecting a Q4 average of $63.00/oz and Goldman Sachs estimating an average range of $85.00 to $100.00/oz. This description was generated by AI and a human. Review and verify everything here yourself.

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