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ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 34d ago

Will the San Diego County Fair 2026 official website list total attendance ≥ 888,888?

Final price
39.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.1%.

Final market price
39.1%
Event deadline
July 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the San Diego County Fair 2026 official website list total attendance ≥ 888,888? The final Manifold price was 39.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.1%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
34d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the official website of the San Diego County Fair (sdfair.com) or its official press releases/media announcements list the total attendance for the 2026 San Diego County Fair as 888,888 or greater. This market resolves to NO if the officially reported total attendance is less than 888,888.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the official website of the San Diego County Fair (sdfair.com) or its official press releases/media announcements list the total attendance for the 2026 San Diego County Fair as 888,888 or greater. This market resolves to NO if the officially reported total attendance is less than 888,888. Notes: The 2026 fair is scheduled to run from June 10 through July 5, 2026. If the official website does not directly publish the total, but the figure is officially released by fair spokespeople or the 22nd District Agricultural Association to local news outlets (such as KPBS or the San Diego Union-Tribune), those reports will be used for resolution. If no official attendance figures are published or reported by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve at the creator's discretion or N/A. Background The San Diego County Fair is the largest annual event in San Diego County, held at the Del Mar Fairgrounds. The theme for the 2026 season is "Once Upon a Fair," focusing on the joys of reading and storytelling. While pre-pandemic attendance figures regularly exceeded 1.5 million, recent years have seen lower totals due to a shortened run of operating days, cashless gate policies, and daily capacity management strategies. Recent official attendance figures: 2025: 874,263 2024: 877,452 2023: 997,720 This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ87.9

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
39.1%
Resolves
Jul 15, 2026

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