Will the San Diego County Fair 2026 official website list total attendance ≥ 888,888?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.1%.
- Final market price
- 39.1%
- Event deadline
- July 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the San Diego County Fair 2026 official website list total attendance ≥ 888,888? The final Manifold price was 39.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 34d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the official website of the San Diego County Fair (sdfair.com) or its official press releases/media announcements list the total attendance for the 2026 San Diego County Fair as 888,888 or greater. This market resolves to NO if the officially reported total attendance is less than 888,888.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the official website of the San Diego County Fair (sdfair.com) or its official press releases/media announcements list the total attendance for the 2026 San Diego County Fair as 888,888 or greater. This market resolves to NO if the officially reported total attendance is less than 888,888. Notes: The 2026 fair is scheduled to run from June 10 through July 5, 2026. If the official website does not directly publish the total, but the figure is officially released by fair spokespeople or the 22nd District Agricultural Association to local news outlets (such as KPBS or the San Diego Union-Tribune), those reports will be used for resolution. If no official attendance figures are published or reported by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve at the creator's discretion or N/A. Background The San Diego County Fair is the largest annual event in San Diego County, held at the Del Mar Fairgrounds. The theme for the 2026 season is "Once Upon a Fair," focusing on the joys of reading and storytelling. While pre-pandemic attendance figures regularly exceeded 1.5 million, recent years have seen lower totals due to a shortened run of operating days, cashless gate policies, and daily capacity management strategies. Recent official attendance figures: 2025: 874,263 2024: 877,452 2023: 997,720 This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ87.9
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 39.1%
- Resolves
- Jul 15, 2026