ManifoldPlay moneyOtherUpdated 80d ago

Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of July 2026?

Final price
51.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 51.6%.

Final market price
51.6%
Event deadline
July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of July 2026? The final Manifold price was 51.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 51.6%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
80d ago

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