Will the S&P 500 close above 7,720 on Friday?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the S&P 500 close above 7,720 on Friday? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 14, 2026 at 1:22 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the S&P 500 Index (SPX) daily closing price is strictly above 7,720 on Friday, September 11, 2026. It will resolve to NO if the index closes at or below 7,720.00.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the S&P 500 Index (SPX) daily closing price is strictly above 7,720 on Friday, September 11, 2026. It will resolve to NO if the index closes at or below 7,720.00. The primary source of truth for the index's closing price will be Yahoo Finance (^GSPC) or, as a secondary source, Google Finance (INDEXSP: .INX). If U.S. stock markets are unexpectedly closed on Friday, September 11, 2026, this market will resolve based on the closing price of the next official trading day.