Will the Padres score 10 or more runs in a game between June 16 and July 7, 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.
- Final market price
- 44.0%
- Event deadline
- July 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the Padres score 10 or more runs in a game between June 16 and July 7, 2026? The final Manifold price was 44.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 11, 2026 at 9:47 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 55d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the San Diego Padres score 10 or more runs in any single official Major League Baseball (MLB) game that starts between June 16, 2026, and July 7, 2026, inclusive (based on the local time of the venue). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the San Diego Padres score 10 or more runs in any single official Major League Baseball (MLB) game that starts between June 16, 2026, and July 7, 2026, inclusive (based on the local time of the venue). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Source of Truth: Official game box scores published on MLB.com or Baseball-Reference. Shortened/Official Games: If a game is shortened (e.g., due to weather) but is deemed an official game by MLB, the runs scored in that game will count. Suspended Games: If a game starting within the specified window is suspended and completed at a later date, the final official score (including runs scored after July 7) will count. If a game starting before June 16 is completed within the window, it does not count. Cancellations: If no games are played at all during this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO. Background The San Diego Padres' schedule between June 16 and July 7, 2026, features a mix of home and away series. Their opponents during this stretch include the St. Louis Cardinals, Texas Rangers, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs, and Arizona Diamondbacks. Traders can monitor active box scores and team performance directly on the official MLB Padres Schedule page. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ36
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ76
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 44.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 7, 2026