Israel closes its airspace by September 30?69%59.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?50%9.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?34%15.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%10.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%14.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?13%5.5Did Claude just solve navier stokes??27%12.3Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%14.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?65%4.0Fed rate hike in 2026?72%10.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?24%4.5Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?10%7.0Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?86%21.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%8.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?86%0.5Will Levent Alpöge's S⁶ complex-structure paper be posted to arXiv by October 15, 2026?29%29.5
ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 55d ago

Will the Padres score 10 or more runs in a game between June 16 and July 7, 2026?

Final price
44.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.

Final market price
44.0%
Event deadline
July 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the Padres score 10 or more runs in a game between June 16 and July 7, 2026? The final Manifold price was 44.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.

Market data as of
July 11, 2026 at 9:47 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
55d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the San Diego Padres score 10 or more runs in any single official Major League Baseball (MLB) game that starts between June 16, 2026, and July 7, 2026, inclusive (based on the local time of the venue). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the San Diego Padres score 10 or more runs in any single official Major League Baseball (MLB) game that starts between June 16, 2026, and July 7, 2026, inclusive (based on the local time of the venue). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Source of Truth: Official game box scores published on MLB.com or Baseball-Reference. Shortened/Official Games: If a game is shortened (e.g., due to weather) but is deemed an official game by MLB, the runs scored in that game will count. Suspended Games: If a game starting within the specified window is suspended and completed at a later date, the final official score (including runs scored after July 7) will count. If a game starting before June 16 is completed within the window, it does not count. Cancellations: If no games are played at all during this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO. Background The San Diego Padres' schedule between June 16 and July 7, 2026, features a mix of home and away series. Their opponents during this stretch include the St. Louis Cardinals, Texas Rangers, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs, and Arizona Diamondbacks. Traders can monitor active box scores and team performance directly on the official MLB Padres Schedule page. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ36

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ76

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
44.0%
Resolves
Jul 7, 2026

Related markets