Will the May Jobs report be revised upwards in June?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.0%.
- Final market price
- 54.0%
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the May Jobs report be revised upwards in June? The final Manifold price was 54.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 4, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 109d ago
What this market actually measures
The change in non-farm payroll employment for May was 172,000. Will this number be revised upward in the June jobs report?
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The change in non-farm payroll employment for May was 172,000. Will this number be revised upward in the June jobs report? I will use the following report to resolve the market. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm