Will the June 2026 Venezuela earthquakes have a confirmed death toll of 2,000+ by Aug 1, 2026?
Final price
82.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 82.0%.
- Final market price
- 82.0%
- Event deadline
- August 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 82.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 82.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the June 2026 Venezuela earthquakes have a confirmed death toll of 2,000+ by Aug 1, 2026? The final Manifold price was 82.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 82.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 4, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 109d ago
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