Will the June 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026 reports a seasonally adjusted U-6 unemployment / labor-underutilization rate of at least 8.0%. Use Table A-15, Alternative measures of labor underutilization, in the initial BLS June 2026 Employment Situation release. U-6 is the row described by BLS as total unemployed, plus all people marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all people marginally attached to the labor force. Use the seasonally adjusted June 2026 value. A reported value of 8.0% or higher resolves YES; a value below 8.0% resolves NO. Do not use U-3/the official unemployment rate, labor-force participation, employment-population ratio, nonfarm payroll employment, household-survey employment, AHE/wage growth, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, state/metro unemployment, forecast consensus, non-seasonally-adjusted U-6, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Employment Situation release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release containing the June 2026 seasonally adjusted U-6 value unless there is no such release by July 9, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"may_2026_labor_force_participation_rate": 61.8, "may_2026_total_nonfarm_payroll_change": 172000, "may_2026_u3_unemployment_rate": 4.3, "may_2026_u6_unemployment_rate_seasonally_adjusted": 8.1, "release": "The Employment Situation, May 2026", "release_date": "2026-06-05"}, "metric": "U-6 alternative measure of labor underutilization, seasonally adjusted", "related_non_duplicates": ["U-3 unemployment-rate, nonfarm-payrolls, labor-force-participation, household-employment, claims, ADP, and JOLTS markets are not duplicates.", "AHE/wage-growth, CPI, PCE, personal income, disposable income, aggregate payrolls, weekly earnings, hours worked, and forecast-consensus markets are not duplicates.", "May 2026 Employment Situation markets are not duplicates of June 2026 U-6 labor-underutilization markets."], "release_schedule": "BLS Employment Situation schedule lists June 2026 for 2026-07-02 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026, Table A-15", "source_fetch_caveat": "BLS pages may return HTTP 403 to raw Python urllib from this host; official BLS pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation.", "threshold": "8.0% or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS Employment Situation release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm - BLS selected 2026 releases schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/ - BLS May 2026 Employment Situation archive: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_06052026.htm - BLS current Employment Situation page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm