ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 40d ago
Will "The House on the Borderland - A First-Draft of a Film Adaptation" get one hundred views in its first month?
Final price
68.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 68.6%.
- Final market price
- 68.6%
- Event deadline
- August 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 68.6%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 68.6%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will "The House on the Borderland - A First-Draft of a Film Adaptation" get one hundred views in its first month? The final Manifold price was 68.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 68.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 26, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ67.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ67.7
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 68.6%
- Resolves
- Aug 21, 2026
Related markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
88%YESTrust 59
Polymarket$35.1K 24h
Will Democrats win the House but lose the Senate?
40%YESTrust 25
ManifoldṀ52.4 24h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YESTrust 70
Polymarket$24.2K 24h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%YESTrust 89
Polymarket$72.9K 24h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56%YESTrust 86
Polymarket$58.4K 24h
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%YESTrust 90
Polymarket$373.1K 24h