ManifoldPlay moneyOtherUpdated 80d ago

Will the DJIA go below 50,000 by August 1 (8/1/26)?

Final price
37.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 37.2%.

Final market price
37.2%
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the DJIA go below 50,000 by August 1 (8/1/26)? The final Manifold price was 37.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 37.2%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
80d ago

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