Will the DC Fourth of July festivities be altered because of the heat?
Final price
75.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 75.3%.
- Final market price
- 75.3%
- Event deadline
- July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the DC Fourth of July festivities be altered because of the heat? The final Manifold price was 75.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 75.3%.
- Market data as of
- July 5, 2026 at 6:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 107d ago