Will SPY close above $737.55 on Friday, June 12, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.3%.
- Final market price
- 87.3%
- Event deadline
- June 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will SPY close above $737.55 on Friday, June 12, 2026? The final Manifold price was 87.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 15, 2026 at 7:14 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 127d ago
What this market actually measures
Based on Yahoo Finance Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) closes at a price strictly greater than $737.55 on Friday, June 12, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Based on Yahoo Finance Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) closes at a price strictly greater than $737.55 on Friday, June 12, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. The reference price is SPY's closing price on Friday, June 5, 2026: $737.55, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The official resolution price will be determined by the data provided on the Yahoo Finance SPY summary page. If the market is closed on June 12, 2026, or if no trade occurs on that date, the market will resolve based on the closing price of the next available trading day.