Will someone manigram me 500 mana?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 19.9%.
- Final market price
- 19.9%
- Event deadline
- June 27, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will someone manigram me 500 mana? The final Manifold price was 19.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 19.9%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 27, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 113d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the market creator receives a single manigram of 500 mana or more from any user prior to the market's scheduled close time. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the market creator receives a single manigram of 500 mana or more from any user prior to the market's scheduled close time. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. Resolution will be determined by the transaction history on the market creator's Manifold profile. The creator should post a screenshot or link to the transaction in the comments to verify if a qualifying manigram has been sent. Background On Manifold, a "manigram" is a feature that allows users to transfer mana directly to another user's account, optionally accompanied by a message. This market tracks whether any user will utilize this feature to send the creator a lump sum of at least 500 mana before the market closes.