Will someone make out with me at Manifest while I wear the Panda Hat?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.4%.
- Final market price
- 18.4%
- Event deadline
- June 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will someone make out with me at Manifest while I wear the Panda Hat? The final Manifold price was 18.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.4%.
- Market data as of
- June 16, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 127d ago
What this market actually measures
Several people have asked and encouraged me to make one, but I am sorry I don't have a dating doc. I have had making one on the back-burner for years now.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Several people have asked and encouraged me to make one, but I am sorry I don't have a dating doc. I have had making one on the back-burner for years now. I am the guy in the panda hat. Feel free to find and talk to me to get a sense on how you'd like to bet if you're here. Making out means there has to be mutually consensual tongue-to-tongue and lip-to-lip contact. So cute peck warmup kisses don't count. Panda Hat must be on head. Hard Requirement. Auto-resolves to NO on Monday when I am "no longer at Manifest" I'll refrain from betting. Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will make out with any gender, but is significantly more selective with men (describing themselves as a 1 on the Kinsey scale). Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The panda hat must be on the creator's head during the make-out for the market to resolve Yes. Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not resolve YES if the make-out is explicitly motivated by or tied to this market. The kiss must occur in a social context where the market feels entirely orthogonal to the reason for the kiss. Bringing up this market in conversation is likely to prevent a YES resolution.