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ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 80d ago

Will someone make out with me at Manifest while I wear the Panda Hat?

Final price
18.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.4%.

Final market price
18.4%
Event deadline
June 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will someone make out with me at Manifest while I wear the Panda Hat? The final Manifold price was 18.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.4%.

Market data as of
June 16, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
80d ago

What this market actually measures

Several people have asked and encouraged me to make one, but I am sorry I don't have a dating doc. I have had making one on the back-burner for years now.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Several people have asked and encouraged me to make one, but I am sorry I don't have a dating doc. I have had making one on the back-burner for years now. I am the guy in the panda hat. Feel free to find and talk to me to get a sense on how you'd like to bet if you're here. Making out means there has to be mutually consensual tongue-to-tongue and lip-to-lip contact. So cute peck warmup kisses don't count. Panda Hat must be on head. Hard Requirement. Auto-resolves to NO on Monday when I am "no longer at Manifest" I'll refrain from betting. Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will make out with any gender, but is significantly more selective with men (describing themselves as a 1 on the Kinsey scale). Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The panda hat must be on the creator's head during the make-out for the market to resolve Yes. Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not resolve YES if the make-out is explicitly motivated by or tied to this market. The kiss must occur in a social context where the market feels entirely orthogonal to the reason for the kiss. Bringing up this market in conversation is likely to prevent a YES resolution.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ2.6K

Liquidity

Ṁ16K

Total volume

Ṁ2.9K

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
18.4%
Resolves
Jun 14, 2026

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