Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 75.0%.
- Final market price
- 75.0%
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close? The final Manifold price was 75.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 75.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 1:22 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 113d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if at least one user managrams me at least 1500 mana in a single transaction before market close. Does not count if the managramed money was a previous loan repayment or a loan that I make.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if at least one user managrams me at least 1500 mana in a single transaction before market close. Does not count if the managramed money was a previous loan repayment or a loan that I make. Managram will not be returned. I reserve the right to bet on this market. Market close date is fixed to 6/30 at 9 PM PDT but will resolve before that time if managram was received.