Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.
- Final market price
- 44.0%
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close? The final Manifold price was 44.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 26, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 71d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if at least one user managrams me at least 1500 mana in a single transaction before market close. Does not count if the managramed money was a previous loan repayment or a loan that I make.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if at least one user managrams me at least 1500 mana in a single transaction before market close. Does not count if the managramed money was a previous loan repayment or a loan that I make. Managram will not be returned. I reserve the right to bet on this market. Market close date is fixed to 6/21 at 9 PM PDT but will resolve before that time if managram was received.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ2
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ129
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 44.0%
- Resolves
- Jun 22, 2026