Will silver outperform gold over the next week?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 65.3%.
- Final market price
- 65.3%
- Event deadline
- September 18, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will silver outperform gold over the next week? The final Manifold price was 65.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 65.3%.
- Market data as of
- September 21, 2026 at 5:10 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 2, 2026 at 9:17 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 18, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
This market compares the gold-to-silver price ratio at the weekly close on Friday, September 11, 2026, with the weekly close on Friday, September 18, 2026. Starting gold-to-silver ratio: approximately 67.64.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market compares the gold-to-silver price ratio at the weekly close on Friday, September 11, 2026, with the weekly close on Friday, September 18, 2026. Starting gold-to-silver ratio: approximately 67.64. Resolves YES if the ratio shown by GoldPrice.org after the September 18 New York market close is lower than the September 11 closing ratio. A lower ratio means silver increased more—or declined less—than gold. Resolves NO if the ratio is higher, meaning gold outperformed silver. If the two ratios are identical when rounded to two decimal places, the market resolves 50%. GoldPrice.org’s historical closing data will control if another source displays a different price.