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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 82d ago

Will silver hit $60/oz by close on Friday?

Final price
4.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.1%.

Final market price
4.1%
Event deadline
June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will silver hit $60/oz by close on Friday? The final Manifold price was 4.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.1%.

Market data as of
June 15, 2026 at 6:58 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
82d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) touches $60.00 per troy ounce or lower at any point between market creation and the close of trading on Friday, June 12, 2026. If the price remains strictly above $60.00 per ounce throughout this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) touches $60.00 per troy ounce or lower at any point between market creation and the close of trading on Friday, June 12, 2026. If the price remains strictly above $60.00 per ounce throughout this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO. Primary Source of Truth: Trading Economics Silver Price Secondary Source of Truth: CNBC Silver Futures (SI.1) Resolution Time: Based on the daily trading data up to the close of NYMEX/COMEX trading on Friday, June 12, 2026 (typically 5:00 PM Eastern Time). Intraday lows on these feeds will count toward a YES resolution. Background As of Wednesday, June 10, 2026, the spot price of silver is trading at approximately $64.00 to $65.00 per ounce. The metal is currently in a sharp correction, having shed nearly half of its value since hitting an all-time high of $121.64 on January 29, 2026. Recent downward pressure on precious metals has been driven by a stronger-than-expected US jobs report on June 6, 2026, which fueled expectations of higher Federal Reserve interest rates, alongside rising Treasury yields and a strengthening US dollar. This market tests whether silver's downward momentum will carry it past the key psychological support level of $60.00 before the end of the trading week.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ1K

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ1.3K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
4.1%
Resolves
Jun 13, 2026

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