Will silver hit $60/oz by close on Friday?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.1%.
- Final market price
- 4.1%
- Event deadline
- June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will silver hit $60/oz by close on Friday? The final Manifold price was 4.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.1%.
- Market data as of
- June 15, 2026 at 6:58 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 128d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) touches $60.00 per troy ounce or lower at any point between market creation and the close of trading on Friday, June 12, 2026. If the price remains strictly above $60.00 per ounce throughout this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) touches $60.00 per troy ounce or lower at any point between market creation and the close of trading on Friday, June 12, 2026. If the price remains strictly above $60.00 per ounce throughout this timeframe, the market will resolve to NO. Primary Source of Truth: Trading Economics Silver Price Secondary Source of Truth: CNBC Silver Futures (SI.1) Resolution Time: Based on the daily trading data up to the close of NYMEX/COMEX trading on Friday, June 12, 2026 (typically 5:00 PM Eastern Time). Intraday lows on these feeds will count toward a YES resolution. Background As of Wednesday, June 10, 2026, the spot price of silver is trading at approximately $64.00 to $65.00 per ounce. The metal is currently in a sharp correction, having shed nearly half of its value since hitting an all-time high of $121.64 on January 29, 2026. Recent downward pressure on precious metals has been driven by a stronger-than-expected US jobs report on June 6, 2026, which fueled expectations of higher Federal Reserve interest rates, alongside rising Treasury yields and a strengthening US dollar. This market tests whether silver's downward momentum will carry it past the key psychological support level of $60.00 before the end of the trading week.