Will Ryan get his discord powers/role back?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.4%.
- Final market price
- 4.4%
- Event deadline
- September 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Ryan get his discord powers/role back? The final Manifold price was 4.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.4%.
- Market data as of
- September 25, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 25, 2026 at 5:44 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 2m ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if "Ryan" (the user referred to by the market creator) has his administration, moderation, or specialized role/powers restored on the target Discord server before the market close date. This market resolves to NO if he does not regain his role or powers by the market close date.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if "Ryan" (the user referred to by the market creator) has his administration, moderation, or specialized role/powers restored on the target Discord server before the market close date. This market resolves to NO if he does not regain his role or powers by the market close date. Because the specific Discord server and user are community-specific, the market creator should pin a comment or edit this description to clarify the exact Discord server name and the Discord username or ID of "Ryan." The creator will resolve this market based on verifiable role changes within that server. Background This market concerns whether a Discord user known as Ryan will have his previously held powers or roles reinstated. It is likely specific to a particular community or creator's server. Traders should monitor the target Discord server's member list, role updates, or official announcements, as well as any updates posted by the market creator, to track the status of Ryan's permissions. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ113.3
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ0
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 4.4%
- Resolves
- Sep 25, 2026