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ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 2m ago

Will Ryan get his discord powers/role back?

Final price
4.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.4%.

Final market price
4.4%
Event deadline
September 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Ryan get his discord powers/role back? The final Manifold price was 4.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 4.4%.

Market data as of
September 25, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 25, 2026 at 5:44 PM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
September 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
2m ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if "Ryan" (the user referred to by the market creator) has his administration, moderation, or specialized role/powers restored on the target Discord server before the market close date. This market resolves to NO if he does not regain his role or powers by the market close date.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if "Ryan" (the user referred to by the market creator) has his administration, moderation, or specialized role/powers restored on the target Discord server before the market close date. This market resolves to NO if he does not regain his role or powers by the market close date. Because the specific Discord server and user are community-specific, the market creator should pin a comment or edit this description to clarify the exact Discord server name and the Discord username or ID of "Ryan." The creator will resolve this market based on verifiable role changes within that server. Background This market concerns whether a Discord user known as Ryan will have his previously held powers or roles reinstated. It is likely specific to a particular community or creator's server. Traders should monitor the target Discord server's member list, role updates, or official announcements, as well as any updates posted by the market creator, to track the status of Ryan's permissions. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ113.3

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ0

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
—
Current probability
4.4%
Resolves
Sep 25, 2026

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