Will Quroe's brother join Manifold before October 2026?
Final price
78.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 78.7%.
- Final market price
- 78.7%
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 78.7%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 78.7%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Quroe's brother join Manifold before October 2026? The final Manifold price was 78.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 78.7%.
- Market data as of
- September 16, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 29, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
Eastern Time Zone. My brother is extremely encouraged to trade YES on this market.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Eastern Time Zone. My brother is extremely encouraged to trade YES on this market.
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