Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 25th Democratic primary?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:55 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 25th Democratic primary? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 21, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:55 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 60d ago
What this market actually measures
He’s running against Jared moskowitz, a ‘Desantis Democrat’ 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida - Wikipedia
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
He’s running against Jared moskowitz, a ‘Desantis Democrat’ 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida - Wikipedia