ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 52d ago
Will next OpenAI model be closer to Opus-class or Fable-class?
Final price
47.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.6%.
- Final market price
- 47.6%
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 47.6%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 47.6%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will next OpenAI model be closer to Opus-class or Fable-class? The final Manifold price was 47.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 14, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 52d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ5
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ5
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 47.6%
- Resolves
- Aug 10, 2026
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