Will next OpenAI model be closer to Opus-class or Fable-class?
Final price
47.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.6%.
- Final market price
- 47.6%
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 47.6%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 47.6%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will next OpenAI model be closer to Opus-class or Fable-class? The final Manifold price was 47.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 14, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 99d ago
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