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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 66d ago

Will my Trader bonuses exceed 100,000 for the June 2026 season?

Final price
83.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.8%.

Final market price
83.8%
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will my Trader bonuses exceed 100,000 for the June 2026 season? The final Manifold price was 83.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.8%.

Market data as of
June 30, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
66d ago

What this market actually measures

[image]Resolves based on the number displayed on my league standings when the season finishes. Resolves yes if it shows 100,001 or more.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

[image]Resolves based on the number displayed on my league standings when the season finishes. Resolves yes if it shows 100,001 or more.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ790

Liquidity

Ṁ1K

Total volume

Ṁ1.7K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
83.8%
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026

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