Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.1%.
- Final market price
- 12.1%
- Event deadline
- September 29, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 12.1%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 12.1%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE) The final Manifold price was 12.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.1%.
- Market data as of
- September 1, 2026 at 5:52 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 29, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 50d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume on this specific Manifold market reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 Mana (Ṁ1,000,000) at any point prior to its close. If the market closes and the total volume is strictly below 1,000,000 Mana, the market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume on this specific Manifold market reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 Mana (Ṁ1,000,000) at any point prior to its close. If the market closes and the total volume is strictly below 1,000,000 Mana, the market will resolve to NO. The official volume is determined by the "Volume" metric displayed on the market page on Manifold. Background On the Manifold platform, "volume" tracks the cumulative amount of Mana (Ṁ) transacted by traders on a given market. Reaching a volume of 1,000,000 Mana is a significant milestone that generally requires sustained trader engagement, high-stakes bets, or substantial creator-provided liquidity. This market allows traders to speculate on whether this specific question will generate enough trading activity to hit the 1,000,000 Mana threshold. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.