Will my this market post cross 100k Mana mark? (THIS ONE)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Final market price
- 16.7%
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my this market post cross 100k Mana mark? (THIS ONE) The final Manifold price was 16.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Market data as of
- September 8, 2026 at 5:56 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if this specific Manifold market reaches a total trading volume of 100,000 Mana (Ṁ100,000) or more at any point prior to or at its official closing time. If the market closes or is resolved before reaching this volume milestone, it will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if this specific Manifold market reaches a total trading volume of 100,000 Mana (Ṁ100,000) or more at any point prior to or at its official closing time. If the market closes or is resolved before reaching this volume milestone, it will resolve to NO. The "Total Volume" metric displayed on the market page itself will serve as the sole source of truth for resolution. Background This is a self-referential prediction market. On Manifold Markets, "Mana" (Ṁ) is the proprietary play-money currency used for trading. The "Total Volume" of a market tracks the cumulative amount of Mana bet on it by all participants since its creation. Traders in this market are speculating on whether the interest, trading activity, and promotional efforts surrounding this specific question will be sufficient to push its total trading volume past the 100k Mana threshold. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.