ManifoldUncategorizedUpdated 6m ago
Will my NeurIPS paper be at the venue I put as my 1st choice?
Final price
54.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Final market price
- 54.8%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my NeurIPS paper be at the venue I put as my 1st choice? The final Manifold price was 54.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Market data as of
- October 6, 2026 at 2:53 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 6m ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ10
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ10
- Category
- Uncategorized
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 54.8%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
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