Will my company make a sale today?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 27.0%.
- Final market price
- 27.0%
- Event deadline
- August 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my company make a sale today? The final Manifold price was 27.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 27.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 28, 2026 at 12:22 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 54d ago
What this market actually measures
This market is whether or not LongWall Labs will make its first sale today, its been open for 2 months with none. Im expecting one today so the chances are going to be slightly increased from yesterday.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market is whether or not LongWall Labs will make its first sale today, its been open for 2 months with none. Im expecting one today so the chances are going to be slightly increased from yesterday. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if LongWall Labs registers its first-ever customer sale on August 24, 2026, in the creator's local timezone. The market resolves to NO if no customer sales are successfully processed and finalized by 11:59 PM on August 24, 2026, in the creator's local timezone. Verification: Because sales data for a private company is not publicly accessible, this market will resolve based on the creator's self-report. The creator should provide a redacted screenshot of their e-commerce platform or payment processor (e.g., Shopify, Stripe) demonstrating a completed transaction timestamped on August 24, 2026, to verify the outcome. Background LongWall Labs is a supplier of laboratory and in-vitro research products. At the time of this market's creation, the storefront has been live for approximately two months without registering a sale. The creator expects the company's first-ever commercial transaction to be completed today. This description was generated by AI.