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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 71d ago

Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22?

Final price
30.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.9%.

Final market price
30.9%
Event deadline
June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22? The final Manifold price was 30.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.9%.

Market data as of
June 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
71d ago

What this market actually measures

context: My account was recently restricted for promoting markets in comments/discussions. 🤷🏼‍♂️ Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before June 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, my Manifold account is restricted, suspended, banned, or removed by Manifold administration.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

context: My account was recently restricted for promoting markets in comments/discussions. 🤷🏼‍♂️ Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before June 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, my Manifold account is restricted, suspended, banned, or removed by Manifold administration. It resolves to NO if my account remains active and unrestricted through the end of June 22, 2026. If my account is banned or deleted, I will be unable to resolve this market myself. In that scenario, Manifold moderators or administrators should resolve the market based on my public account status. Background This market tracks whether the creator's Manifold account will experience moderation action resulting in restriction or removal by Monday, June 22, 2026. Traders can monitor the creator's profile page to verify active status.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ1

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ108

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
30.9%
Resolves
Jun 21, 2026

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