Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.9%.
- Final market price
- 30.9%
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22? The final Manifold price was 30.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.9%.
- Market data as of
- June 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 117d ago
What this market actually measures
context: My account was recently restricted for promoting markets in comments/discussions. 🤷🏼♂️ Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before June 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, my Manifold account is restricted, suspended, banned, or removed by Manifold administration.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
context: My account was recently restricted for promoting markets in comments/discussions. 🤷🏼♂️ Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before June 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, my Manifold account is restricted, suspended, banned, or removed by Manifold administration. It resolves to NO if my account remains active and unrestricted through the end of June 22, 2026. If my account is banned or deleted, I will be unable to resolve this market myself. In that scenario, Manifold moderators or administrators should resolve the market based on my public account status. Background This market tracks whether the creator's Manifold account will experience moderation action resulting in restriction or removal by Monday, June 22, 2026. Traders can monitor the creator's profile page to verify active status.