Will Micron (MU) close at least 10% above its June 24, 2026 regular-session close by the end of June 25, 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.0%.
- Final market price
- 77.0%
- Event deadline
- June 25, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Micron (MU) close at least 10% above its June 24, 2026 regular-session close by the end of June 25, 2026? The final Manifold price was 77.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 29, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:06 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 25, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 68d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price of Micron Technology Inc. (MU) on Thursday, June 25, 2026, is at least 10% higher than its regular-session closing price on Wednesday, June 24, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price of Micron Technology Inc. (MU) on Thursday, June 25, 2026, is at least 10% higher than its regular-session closing price on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. Resolution Formula: (June 25 Close - June 24 Close) / June 24 Close >= 0.10 Price Source: The official closing prices will be verified using historical daily data from the Nasdaq MU Stock Quote or Yahoo Finance (MU). In the event of minor discrepancies, the Nasdaq official closing price will take precedence. Timing: Closing prices refer to the end of regular trading hours (normally 4:00 PM Eastern Time) and exclude after-hours or pre-market trading activity. Background Micron Technology (MU) is scheduled to release its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings results on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, after the market closes (at 4:30 PM Eastern Time). Because the report will be published after-hours, the primary market reaction to the announcement will be reflected in the regular trading session on Thursday, June 25, 2026. This market tracks whether the post-earnings response will generate a regular-session closing gain of 10% or more relative to its pre-announcement close.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ428
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ505.2
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 77.0%
- Resolves
- Jun 25, 2026