Will May 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 77.0%?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.
- Final market price
- 11.0%
- Event deadline
- June 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will May 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 77.0%? The final Manifold price was 11.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 17, 2026 at 5:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 126d ago
What this market actually measures
This market resolves YES if the initial Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release for May 2026 reports that U.S. total industry capacity utilization was at least 77.0%.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market resolves YES if the initial Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release for May 2026 reports that U.S. total industry capacity utilization was at least 77.0%. Use the capacity utilization rate for total industry from the initial May 2026 G.17 release, scheduled for June 15, 2026. A published value of 77.0% or higher resolves YES. 76.9% or lower resolves NO. If the release is delayed, wait for the initial Federal Reserve release. Do not use industrial production monthly growth, manufacturing output, manufacturing-only capacity utilization, mining/utilities subindexes, year-over-year figures, annual-revision tables, or later revisions. If Federal Reserve tables show a value rounded to one decimal place, use that rounded published value. Source context at creation: the Federal Reserve release-date page lists the June 2026 G.17 release date as 15-June-2026, and the April 2026 G.17 release reported capacity utilization at 76.1%. Primary sources: - https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/default.htm - https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/G17/release_dates.htm - https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/current/