Will Manuel Adorni leave the Argentine government before August 1, 2026?
Final price
69.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 69.0%.
- Final market price
- 69.0%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 69.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 69.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Manuel Adorni leave the Argentine government before August 1, 2026? The final Manifold price was 69.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 69.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 112d ago
Related markets
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
1%YESTrust 68
Kalshi$88.5 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 93
Polymarket$144.2K 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 92
Polymarket$122.3K 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 100
Polymarket$372.1K 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
12%YESTrust 90
Polymarket$408.7K 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
89%YESTrust 88
Polymarket$557.5K 24h