Will Lucy Martinez travel to Thailand before October 31, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 23.1%.
- Final market price
- 23.1%
- Event deadline
- October 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Lucy Martinez travel to Thailand before October 31, 2026? The final Manifold price was 23.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 23.1%.
- Market data as of
- October 31, 2026 at 5:25 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 31, 2026 at 5:35 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- October 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 10m ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if Lucy Martinez is physically in Thailand at any point between market creation and 11:59pm AEDT on December 31, 2026. Airport transit without leaving the airport does not count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if Lucy Martinez is physically in Thailand at any point between market creation and 11:59pm AEDT on December 31, 2026. Airport transit without leaving the airport does not count. Lucy will post proof, such as a photo or boarding pass, when resolving. Resolves NO otherwise. Lucy won't trade on this market.