Will Louisiana Amendment 6 (local senior property tax exemption) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Louisiana Amendment 6 (Do you support an amendment to authorize parishes and municipalities to extend an additional property tax exemption for property subject to the homestead exemption that is owned and occupied by a person who is at least sixty-five years of age and who qualifies for the special assessment level? (Effective January 1, 2028) (Adds Article VII, Section 21(P))) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Simple majority of electors voting on the amendment statewide (La. Const. art. XIII §1(C)). Separately, the exemption applies in a parish/municipality only after a later local majority vote (new §21(P)(3)); that is implementation, not ratification. Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: Parishes/municipalities may, after local voter approval, grant seniors 65+ on the special assessment level an added exemption of $6,000-$30,000 assessed value (by age), from 2028. NO: No new senior exemption; existing homestead exemption and special assessment freeze remain. Results: resolves on the result certified by Secretary of State verifies, compiles and promulgates returns (La. R.S. 18:574(D)); Governor proclaims adoption (Const. art. XIII §1(C)).. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://www.sos.la.gov/media/jo2die1s/proposed-constitutional-amendments-2026-nov.pdf