Will Louisiana Amendment 10 (tax exemption for rehabilitated property) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Louisiana Amendment 10 (Do you support an amendment to allow property tax exemptions for blighted or derelict properties that have been rehabilitated, and to require the legislature to enact laws providing for administration of these exemptions? (Effective January 1, 2027) (Adds Article VII, Section 21(P))) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Simple majority of electors voting on the amendment statewide (La. Const. art. XIII §1(C)); no local-majority requirement. Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: Allows an optional property tax exemption for rehabilitated blighted/derelict property, under terms the legislature sets by law. NO: No such exemption is added to the constitution's exclusive list of exemptions. Results: resolves on the result certified by Secretary of State verifies, compiles and promulgates returns (La. R.S. 18:574(D)); Governor proclaims adoption (Const. art. XIII §1(C)).. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://www.sos.la.gov/media/jo2die1s/proposed-constitutional-amendments-2026-nov.pdf