ManifoldPlay moneyOtherUpdated 80d ago

Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of July 2026?

Final price
45.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.6%.

Final market price
45.6%
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of July 2026? The final Manifold price was 45.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.6%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 12:05 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
80d ago

Related markets