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ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 65d ago

Will Kiros, Weiser, and Gonzales all win Denver County in the primaries on July 1?

Final price
60.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 60.0%.

Final market price
60.0%
Event deadline
November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
60.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
60.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Kiros, Weiser, and Gonzales all win Denver County in the primaries on July 1? The final Manifold price was 60.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 60.0%.

Market data as of
July 2, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
65d ago

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ276.5

Liquidity

Ṁ298

Total volume

Ṁ950.6

Category
Politics
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
60.0%
Resolves
Nov 3, 2026

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