Will June in Boston 2026 be one of the top 3 warmest Junes ever?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.
- Final market price
- 33.5%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will June in Boston 2026 be one of the top 3 warmest Junes ever? The final Manifold price was 33.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 112d ago
What this market actually measures
archiving is really most important for preserving networks!! Update 2026-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the historical top June rankings for Boston, which will be used to determine resolution: Rank Year Avg High Avg Low Mean 1 2021 83.6°F 65.1°F 74.4°F 2 1976 82.8°F 63.9°F 73.4°F 3 1930 81.9°F 62.8°F 72.4°F June 2026 must rank in the top 3 warmest Junes ever (by mean temperature…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
archiving is really most important for preserving networks!! Update 2026-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the historical top June rankings for Boston, which will be used to determine resolution: Rank Year Avg High Avg Low Mean 1 2021 83.6°F 65.1°F 74.4°F 2 1976 82.8°F 63.9°F 73.4°F 3 1930 81.9°F 62.8°F 72.4°F June 2026 must rank in the top 3 warmest Junes ever (by mean temperature) to resolve YES.