Will June in Boston 2026 be one of the top 3 warmest Junes ever?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.
- Final market price
- 33.5%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will June in Boston 2026 be one of the top 3 warmest Junes ever? The final Manifold price was 33.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
archiving is really most important for preserving networks!! Update 2026-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the historical top June rankings for Boston, which will be used to determine resolution: Rank Year Avg High Avg Low Mean 1 2021 83.6°F 65.1°F 74.4°F 2 1976 82.8°F 63.9°F 73.4°F 3 1930 81.9°F 62.8°F 72.4°F June 2026 must rank in the top 3 warmest Junes ever (by mean temperature…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
archiving is really most important for preserving networks!! Update 2026-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the historical top June rankings for Boston, which will be used to determine resolution: Rank Year Avg High Avg Low Mean 1 2021 83.6°F 65.1°F 74.4°F 2 1976 82.8°F 63.9°F 73.4°F 3 1930 81.9°F 62.8°F 72.4°F June 2026 must rank in the top 3 warmest Junes ever (by mean temperature) to resolve YES.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ76
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 33.5%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026