Will June 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs. Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted. A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES. A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO. Negative values resolve NO. Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Employment Situation release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release containing the June 2026 headline total nonfarm payroll change unless there is no such release by July 9, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"april_2026_revised_total_nonfarm_payroll_change": 179000, "may_2026_total_nonfarm_payroll_change": 172000, "may_2026_unemployment_rate": 4.3, "release": "The Employment Situation, May 2026", "release_date": "2026-06-05"}, "metric": "Change in total nonfarm payroll employment, establishment survey, seasonally adjusted", "related_non_duplicates": ["Unemployment-rate, labor-force-participation, household-employment, claims, ADP, and JOLTS markets are not duplicates.", "Private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, revisions, forecast-consensus, and exact-release-time markets are not duplicates.", "May 2026 Employment Situation markets are not duplicates of June 2026 payroll-change markets."], "release_schedule": "BLS Employment Situation schedule lists June 2026 for 2026-07-02 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026", "source_fetch_caveat": "BLS pages may return HTTP 403 to raw Python urllib from this host; official BLS pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation.", "threshold": "+150,000 jobs or more"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS Employment Situation release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm - BLS selected 2026 releases schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/ - BLS May 2026 Employment Situation archive: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_06052026.htm - BLS current Employment Situation page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm