Will June 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026 reports that average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose at least 0.3% month-over-month. Use the BLS-reported seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change for average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls. A reported value of +0.3% or higher resolves YES. A reported value below +0.3% resolves NO. If the release gives dollars/cents but not a percent change, use the seasonally adjusted average-hourly-earnings values for May and June 2026 in the initial BLS release to compute the month-over-month percent change. Do not use nonfarm payroll employment, the unemployment rate, labor-force participation, household-survey employment, CPI/PCE inflation, aggregate payrolls, average weekly earnings, hours worked, forecast consensus, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, subindustry-only earnings, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Employment Situation release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release containing the June 2026 average-hourly-earnings month-over-month value unless there is no such release by July 9, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"may_2026_average_hourly_earnings_level_usd": 36.24, "may_2026_average_hourly_earnings_mom": 0.3, "may_2026_average_hourly_earnings_yoy": 3.4, "may_2026_total_nonfarm_payroll_change": 172000, "release": "The Employment Situation, May 2026", "release_date": "2026-06-05"}, "metric": "Average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls, seasonally adjusted, month-over-month percent change", "related_non_duplicates": ["Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment-rate, labor-force-participation, household-employment, claims, ADP, and JOLTS markets are not duplicates.", "CPI, PCE, personal income, disposable income, aggregate payrolls, weekly earnings, hours worked, and forecast-consensus markets are not duplicates.", "May 2026 Employment Situation markets are not duplicates of June 2026 average-hourly-earnings markets."], "release_schedule": "BLS Employment Situation schedule lists June 2026 for 2026-07-02 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Employment Situation release for June 2026", "source_fetch_caveat": "BLS pages may return HTTP 403 to raw Python urllib from this host; official BLS pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation.", "threshold": "0.3% month-over-month or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS Employment Situation release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm - BLS selected 2026 releases schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/ - BLS May 2026 Employment Situation archive: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_06052026.htm - BLS current Employment Situation page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm