Will Jose Vega debate Ritchie Torres?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 1.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 1.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Jose Vega debate Ritchie Torres? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 25, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 69d ago
What this market actually measures
[image]Resolves yes if Jose Vega and Ritchie Torres both participate in a Democratic Party debate together. Must be invited.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
[image]Resolves yes if Jose Vega and Ritchie Torres both participate in a Democratic Party debate together. Must be invited. Must be a debate. If Jose Vega goes to a debate he’s not invited to and asks Ritchie questions, doesn’t count. Resolves no once the primary is over or Jose Vega withdraws as a Democratic candidate (Identical market to: source market)