ManifoldPlay moneyPoliticsUpdated 84d ago

Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?

Final price
83.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.9%.

Final market price
83.9%
Event deadline
July 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026? The final Manifold price was 83.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.9%.

Market data as of
July 28, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
84d ago