ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 38d ago
Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?
Final price
83.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.9%.
- Final market price
- 83.9%
- Event deadline
- July 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026? The final Manifold price was 83.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 83.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 28, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 38d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ11
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ49
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 83.9%
- Resolves
- Jul 21, 2026