ManifoldPlay moneyOtherUpdated 112d ago

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken

Final price
11.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.

Final market price
11.0%
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 5:40 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken The final Manifold price was 11.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.

Market data as of
July 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 5:40 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
112d ago

What this market actually measures

The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Jackass: Best and Last" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 25 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jackass-Best-and-Last-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Jackass: Best and Last" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 25 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jackass-Best-and-Last-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.