Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.
- Final market price
- 11.0%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 5:40 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken The final Manifold price was 11.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 5:40 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 66d ago
What this market actually measures
The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Jackass: Best and Last" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 25 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jackass-Best-and-Last-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Jackass: Best and Last" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 25 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jackass-Best-and-Last-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ274.5
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 11.0%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026