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ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 53d ago

Will iran and usa stop the war permanent on 31.juni

Final price
80.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 80.9%.

Final market price
80.9%
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will iran and usa stop the war permanent on 31.juni The final Manifold price was 80.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 80.9%.

Market data as of
July 14, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
53d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to yes if, on or before June 30, 2026, the governments of the United States and Iran sign or formally announce a bilateral, comprehensive, permanent ceasefire agreement or a formal peace treaty to permanently end the 2026 Iran War.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to yes if, on or before June 30, 2026, the governments of the United States and Iran sign or formally announce a bilateral, comprehensive, permanent ceasefire agreement or a formal peace treaty to permanently end the 2026 Iran War.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ685.8

Category
Geopolitics
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
80.9%
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026

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