Will iran and usa stop the war permanent on 31.juni
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 80.9%.
- Final market price
- 80.9%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will iran and usa stop the war permanent on 31.juni The final Manifold price was 80.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 80.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 14, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 99d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to yes if, on or before June 30, 2026, the governments of the United States and Iran sign or formally announce a bilateral, comprehensive, permanent ceasefire agreement or a formal peace treaty to permanently end the 2026 Iran War.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to yes if, on or before June 30, 2026, the governments of the United States and Iran sign or formally announce a bilateral, comprehensive, permanent ceasefire agreement or a formal peace treaty to permanently end the 2026 Iran War.