Will I win my next Blood on the Clocktower game?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.2%.
- Final market price
- 45.2%
- Event deadline
- August 29, 2026 at 8:07 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I win my next Blood on the Clocktower game? The final Manifold price was 45.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.2%.
- Market data as of
- September 1, 2026 at 12:33 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 13, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 29, 2026 at 8:07 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
I have played 4 games in my life so far. This is my 2nd night hanging out with this group.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I have played 4 games in my life so far. This is my 2nd night hanging out with this group. Will I win my next game? Expect no live updates. I am about to start my 5th game. It will be the Trouble Brewing script next. Nobody in this game but me is aware of this market, and the other players are not Manifolders to my knowledge. I will not trade in this market. Previous record 1 - Chef, win 2 - Recluse, win 3 - Empath, win 4 - Cerenovus, win