ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 42d ago
Will I will Nash Pit (episode two)?
Final price
30.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.8%.
- Final market price
- 30.8%
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 6:11 AM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 30.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 30.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I will Nash Pit (episode two)? The final Manifold price was 30.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 24, 2026 at 4:55 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 6:11 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ50
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 30.8%
- Resolves
- Aug 7, 2026
Related markets
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 100
Polymarket$5.2M 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 97
Polymarket$1.6M 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1%YESTrust 94
Polymarket$536.8K 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
51%YESTrust 63
Polymarket$769.4K 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50%YESTrust 74
Polymarket$1.4M 24h
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
50%YESTrust 72
Polymarket$59.2K 24h