Will I study for 180+ minutes per day next week? (Ṁ10 bonus)
Source: Manifold price history
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.4%.
- Final market price
- 49.4%
- Event deadline
- October 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I study for 180+ minutes per day next week? (Ṁ10 bonus) The final Manifold price was 49.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.4%.
- Market data as of
- October 20, 2026 at 6:04 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 20, 2026 at 6:07 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- October 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 3m ago
What this market actually measures
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a daily study protocol from 12 October to 18 October. I study law part time.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a daily study protocol from 12 October to 18 October. I study law part time. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: 180+ minutes of studying. NO if I miss a single day (after applying banked minutes) for any reason whatsoever. Banking: Minutes studied above 180 per day are banked. 1 banked minute reduces a daily target by 1 minute. Banked minutes do not expire and can carry over. Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close. Thanks for participating. ❤