ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 42d ago
Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?
Final price
68.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 68.9%.
- Final market price
- 68.9%
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow? The final Manifold price was 68.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 68.9%.
- Market data as of
- August 15, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 26, 2026 at 5:46 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
I’m going to be watching from the Westfjords in Iceland on a whale watching boat
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I’m going to be watching from the Westfjords in Iceland on a whale watching boat
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ95.4
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ0
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 68.9%
- Resolves
- Aug 12, 2026
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