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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 7m ago

Will I resolve this market less than an hour late?

Final price
30.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.3%.

Final market price
30.3%
Event deadline
September 18, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will I resolve this market less than an hour late? The final Manifold price was 30.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.3%.

Market data as of
September 20, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 20, 2026 at 4:45 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
September 18, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
7m ago

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ15

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ15

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
30.3%
Resolves
Sep 18, 2026

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